note: This poll did not come from any campaign but was distributed by the poll taker and came to the Loop via several sources. The poll taker is known locally in Westchester and his phone number is listed on the release
A poll taken after the start of early voting puts Catherine Parker at the head of the pack in a three-way race to become the Democratic nominee for US Representative in the new 16th Congressional District in New York.
With just days till the unusual August 23rd Primary Election Day, 27.4% of Democratic respondents chose Westchester County Legislator Parker to represent the new district, with Congressman Jamaal Bowman gathering 22.7% and County Legislator Vedat Gashi getting the nod from 14.8% of the respondents. 31% remain undecided.
New York’s Congressional Districts were reconfigured in May by a state court dramatically changing the makeup of CD 16 by shifting much of the territory out of The Bronx and into southern Westchester County. Congressman Jamaal Bowman was elected to the old CD 16 after defeating Rep. Elliot Engel in a 2020 primary.
The contest for the new CD 16 pits Bowman against longtime County Legislator Parker, and Vedat Gashi, a County Legislator who lives outside the district and had challenged Bowman under a previously discarded electoral map.
The poll was taken August 16th and 17th from a random sample of 250 registered Democratic primary voters who have cast ballots in this year’s regular June primary. It is considered to have a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
Pollster Gary Stracuzzi says respondents were asked a single head-to-head question, whether they planned to vote for Bowman, Gashi, Parker or Mark Jaffe, who has suspended his campaign but remains on the ballot. Stracuzzi says his firm used the same model for Westchester County Executive elections in 2021, 2017, and 2013. The firm has a positive accuracy record stretching over the past eight election cycles.
Asked if he was surprised by the results, Stracuzzi said “60 per-cent of the people who are going to vote are going to be women and there is only one woman on the ballot.”